Niek,

I think i agree with you,
It’s harder and harder to get the right information to setup your schedule. so When 30% of the durations in your schedule is "estimated" by your self because otherwise your couldn’t complete your schedule on time. You should always ask your self are the critical paths primavera shows me, realy the critical paths. Yes i agree for all methods CPM, CCPM etc you should realy have the right basis information otherwise its no use then its just talk for sales and managers

Regards

Henk

Well, that brings another interesting point into the discussion: how do you capture the actual performance on assigments?

If a project gets really large you’ll need electronic timehseets to capture the actuals. In Primavera this machanism work really well because it is based on a solid CPM based architecture. If you start introducing all kinds of buffers things can get really complicated.

Think about incorporating a change request in a CCPM schedule of a project in progress that uses assigment based time tracking.

Boy I’m I glad it’s weekend now...

Critical Chain Project Management (CCPM) relies on a fully resource loaded (CPM) schedule to establish the critical chain. Then it applies some common sense (like trying to avoid multi-tasking, account for Parkinson’s law, insert buffers where they matter, etc.) to enhance the quality of the schedule. Basically this is just another step on top of a CPM schedule that may make sense in certain situations (but certainly not always).

Now back to reality: only a handfull of people really know how to construct a proper CPM schedule, which accurately reflects the work to be executed. So throwing sophisticated probability theory and tools to it will only help if the foundation is right. Probably 90% of the CCPM implementation effort will be to establish solid CPM schedules before it makes any sense to apply CCPM techniques (same problem as with MonteCarlo simulation).

So with all respect for trends, I think people should learn to walk before they try to run, let alone try to fly.

Finally you are faced with a problem if you try to implement this in P3e because, any Earned Value Analysis will go banana’s on the project/resource/drum buffers used in CCPM. Furthermore this will have quite an effect on things like: ETC’s, resource forecasts, leveling, resource curves, etc.

Based on the above I don’t think we should expect a company like Primavera just adopting this trend but only add bits and pieces that would enhance the product over time.

Hope this helps,

Niek.