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How good is your country at reporting covid-19 statistics - it is a mess.

3 replies [Last post]
Fri, 2020-11-13 10:14
Rafael Davila
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Joined: 1 Mar 2004
Posts: 5229
Groups: Spider Project Team

I do not believe Covid 19 could be tacked effectiviely if your country statistics are poor.  

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Such numbers are misleading, 100% positivity rate!

Whoever publishes some numbers without having the necessary information loses credibility.  It is simple if you are incapable of getting the necessary information do not publish any number.

I wonder if the reporting in your countries is this bad.

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Replies

Sat, 2021-01-02 18:58
#1
Rafael Davila
User offline. Last seen 1 day 3 hours ago. Offline
Joined: 1 Mar 2004
Posts: 5229
Groups: Spider Project Team

Some sites such as covidtracking.com do not report misleading numbers.

https://covidtracking.com/analysis-updates/test-positivity-in-the-us-is-a-mess

Image-053

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Tue, 2020-11-17 10:46
#2
Rafael Davila
User offline. Last seen 1 day 3 hours ago. Offline
Joined: 1 Mar 2004
Posts: 5229
Groups: Spider Project Team

The following is another site again with different results.

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And another.

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The difference in reported infection rate among these two sites is abysmal!

Until there is no uniform reporting standard it will continue being a mess.

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Sun, 2020-11-15 13:31
#3
Rafael Davila
User offline. Last seen 1 day 3 hours ago. Offline
Joined: 1 Mar 2004
Posts: 5229
Groups: Spider Project Team

They say some territories do not report negative results.

  • Puerto Rico does not report negative results for one logical reason: The reported number of patients tested do not represent the same patients included in the reported number of patients tested positive due to a lag between the date the specimen is collected and the availability of test results. Positivity rates cannot be inferred by dividing patients tested positive by patients tested for this reason.
  • I do not mean to say it is not possible to pair same day test results, this would mean true positivity rate will lag several days the day the specimens are collected.  
  • It looks like PR figured it out how to estimate positivity rate better than showing 100%, a meaningless value that is not credible.
  •  
  • If you do not have the data you shall not report any number, to show 100% is wrong, these "fake news" makes their credibility go down the drain.
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