Gents,
The following links are for a PhD and a scientific paper in the construction risks in the Middle East. The Thesis shows the methodology of how to overcome the risks and delays on construction projects and how estimate the durations of activities and consequently forecasting the project's duration while considering the degrees of uncertainty.
It is my great honor to share the thesis and the paper with you. Also, please feel free to share them with whomever is concerned.
Construction Activities Duration Patterns in the Middle East http://www.sapub.org/global/showpaperpdf.aspx?doi=10.5923/j.ijcem.20130204.04 [1] PROBABILISTIC MODELS FOR CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS' DURATIONS IN THE MIDDLE EAST http://www.mediafire.com/view/17657p5faphqax3/PhD_Thesis_on_PROBABILISTIC_MODELS_FOR_CONSTRUCTION_PROJECTS%27_DURATIONS_IN_THE_MIDDLE_EAST.pdf9 [2]